Gujcot Weekly Report
Posted : May 14, 2021

Market Movement from 22nd Mar 2021 to 27th Mar 2021

  • A week of blood bath under total control of bears on cotton future markets. Particularly limit down on Thursday despite better US export sales report. Several reasons potentially combined to account for Thursday’s bearish implosion. Those include a stronger dollar, a weak looking chart, fear of Chinese retaliation over the banned Xinjian cotton, end-of-the-month adjustments, and a rise in global COVID-19 infections. After mills fixation and some short covering on Friday, NY May future rebounded still losing 430 points during the week.
  • U.S. Export Sales were decent and beyond require pace to meet the target. Total export Commitment of 15.7 million statistical bales crossed USDA projection, out of that 9.6 million bales already shipped. China cancels some quantity but that roll over to next year.
  • Following to NY Futures, Chinese cotton and yarn future also lost the ground and all contracts traded below 15,000.
  • CCI has reduced price for one time but in downtrend market they were not able to find buyers.
  • Indian physical market also in shock by continuous downfall in futures. All stake holders have long position so there is panic in the market. Due to panic situation in cotton market, MCX futures tumbled more than physical market.
  • Indian basis improved and recovered from -1,300 to square with NY Future. Now Indian cotton does not look cheaper.
  • India daily arrivals are now declining and remained close to 50,000+.
  • Gujarat daily arrivals were nearly 25,000 bales at the end of the week, but it may still go lower in coming week due to festival and closing of year.
  • Next week start with festival in India and also closing of financial year so trade will remain slow during the week.
  • In US trader’s eye on 31st March US planting intention report.
  • Indian rupee remained stable between 72.36 to 72.62.

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  • For Week Ending 06-05-2021 2020-2021 Net Upland Sales 54,400 Upland Shipments 2,77,200 Net Pim
USDA - WASDE
  • U.S. cotton production in 2021/22 is projected to rise 2.4 million bales, but total supply is projec