Gujarat cotton crop is estimated as 1,06,94,302 Bales out of which 2,75,000 Bales will be of V-797 rest will be Shankar-6. V-797 pressing will remain almost same or slightly higher than 2017-18, 2018-19 was a rain deficient year. Apart from this generally around 13-20 Lakh bales equivalent Kapas arrive to Gujarat from neighbouring states. Other state arrivals in Gujarat varies with price parity and many other factors like CCI Purchase, TDS on cash withdrawal. During 2017-18 season approximately 18.58 Lakh bales equivalent kapas had arrived from other states and total pressing was 1,18,72,596 Bales and during 2018-19 season approximately 11.50 Lakh Bales equivalent of kapas had arrived from other state and total pressing was 90,49,293 Bales.
Since crop in neighbouring states also is much better than last season, chances of higher arrivals from other state to Gujarat seems much brighter than last season.
Current season GOT (Lint Outturn) is higher than previous few years which will also help increase yield in terms of Kg lint per hectare. Though for our calculation purpose we have taken previous few years average. There is plenty of ground water availability, which will be useful to give better yields in non-irrigated land and partially compensate yield loss due to excess rainfall in certain area.
So, we estimate total Gujarat cotton pressing to be 120-125 Lakh Bales of 170 Kg.