Market Movement from 06th Oct 2025 to 11th Oct 2025.

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• Following President Trump’s remark about imposing tariffs on China and proposing a meeting with President Xi Jinping, the market reacted sharply negative. The NY December contract hit its contract low, trading in the 63–64 cent range. Both technically and fundamentally, the outlook appeared negative. Ultimately, NY December closed at 63.84, recovering slightly from the low, marking a weekly loss of 1.46 cents (W/W).
• Due to the government shutdown in the USA, data is unavailable. Export sales, CFTC reports, and WASDE updates are currently not accessible.
• This week, Gujcot Spot Rate remained mostly stable with minor fluctuations. The week opened on Monday at ₹54,350 per candy, slightly eased to ₹54,250 on Tuesday, then recovered to ₹54,350 on Wednesday and Thursday. Toward the weekend, prices softened again to ₹54,200 on Friday, and on Saturday the rate was ₹53,900. Overall, the market showed a steady tone with limited movement, reflecting balanced demand and supply conditions.
• During this week, the Indian basis remained between 12.95 and 14.11.
• All-India arrivals have picked up and are now crossing 60,000 bales per day.
• Mills have covered imports and CCI old crop stocks, so market demand is currently limited.
• CCI has yet to complete the final tender process with ginners, leaving farmers with limited options. Additionally, this humid, wet kapas does not meet CCI parameters, so in the open market it is selling at parity with the prevailing market rate.
• With higher arrivals, slow buying, and a bearish sentiment, the market has shown a slight downturn.
• All India sowing has reached 110.03 lakh hectares, out of which Gujarat contributed 20.83 lakh hectares.
• This week, the USD-INR exchange rate showed limited movement with a slightly weaker trend toward the end of the week. The rate opened at 88.78 on Monday, remained steady at 88.77 on Tuesday, and inched up to 88.80 on Wednesday. It then eased back to 88.78 on Thursday and closed lower at 88.69 on Friday, reflecting minor fluctuations and overall stability in the currency market throughout the week.
• Hope for best