Market Movement from 24th Jun 2024 to 29th Jun 2024.
• This week started on a bullish note, with short covering driving the market near the psychological number of 75 cents. However, poor export sales and higher planting numbers reversed the trend, bringing the market back to the 72 cents area. New York December closed with a smaller gain of 48 points week over week and loss of 242 points month over month.
Cotton futures were up modestly, finding support after trading on both sides of the market this week.
• December futures fell to their lowest level since October 2022 but recouped some losses by the end of the week. The contract traded 83 points higher, settling at 72.62 cents per pound.
The tiny cracks in the bears’ armor remain just that – tiny. Yet, they exist and absent an absolutely unexpected widespread excellent rain over some nearly two million acres of Texas cotton (primarily Districts 1-N and 1-S) over the next two weeks, those cracks will begin to widen. Certainly, much more moisture is needed over the vast dryland acreage of 1-S.
Market Movement from 17th Jun 2024 to 22nd Jun 2024.
• The front month December saw a recovery after an initial loss at the beginning of the week. Despite the early setback, December managed to cover all losses and closed unchanged, with 7 cents gain week-over-week. On expiry, NY July future experienced a significant loss, but this was largely ignored by the market as all positions were shifted to December future contract.