• Unpredictable. Interesting. Pick your adjective to describe the data flow this week, which includes multiple inflation readings and personal income. We’re also watching developments in Congress on government funding, as current funding is set to expire on September 30. At this point, the chances of a government shutdown appear high, though we can’t rule out a short-term deal at the last minute.
Cotton Market Bears Continue to Hinder Bullish Hints
Never begin a sentence with the word I, and certainly never, ever begin a paragraph with I. That said…
I just cannot get there. Hopefully, I am really missing something. I look every day for bullish news in the cotton market. Better yet, I have found some meaningful tidbits that historically have attended significant bullish implications for prices.
Market Movement from 15th Sep 2025 to 20th Sep 2025.
• NY Futures gained some momentum on Tuesday, reaching 67.72 with a positive tone, but the strength did not sustain through the rest of the week and ultimately closed at 66.29 with loss of 54 points W/W.
• Markets are optimistic heading into Wednesday’s Fed meeting, where a 25 basis point rate cut is widely expected and would mark the first in nine months. Investors will also be watching U.S.–China trade talks this week alongside Tuesday’s retail sales report, both of which could shape sentiment around growth and demand. Chair Powell’s press conference will be key for signals on inflation, labor market weakness, and tariffs.
Neutral Report Supports Current Cotton Trading Activity
The market was friendly to cotton on the week as December settled 80 points higher at 66.83 cents. The nearby October contract, although thinly traded, also settled 80 points higher at 65.19.